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Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump: "As usual, China said they were going to be buying “big” from our great American Farmers"

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18:41 10.12.2019
U.S. economy expected to be in a recession in the second half of 2020 - Rabobank
Analysts at Rabobank note that, while the coincident and lagging indicators show that the U.S. economy is still going strong, the leading indicators suggest that the future looks less bright."The un-inversion of the yield curve, strong employment growth, solid growth in consumer spending, the low unemployment rate and a possible US-China trade deal do not change our forecast that the US economy is heading for a recession next year.The arguments put forward to dispel our forecast of a recession
18:24 10.12.2019
China's credit data encouraging – TDS
Analysts at TD Securities note that China’s November aggregate financing and new loans came in above expectations, rising to CNY 1,750bn and CNY 1390bn, respectively, from CNY 618bn and CNY 661bn, previously.“M2 money supply increased by a smaller than expected 8.2% y/y, from 8.4% previously. The data are encouraging and suggest some opening of the credit taps in November. Indeed following October's disappointment when loans dropped to their lowest level in almost two years, the bounce back will
17:37 10.12.2019
China's underlying inflation picture subdued – TDS
Analysts at TD Securities note that, while the headlines scream of rising inflation in China, the underlying inflation picture is extremely subdued.“China November CPI rose 4.5% y/y (mkt 4.3%, TD 4.4%), its highest reading since January 2012. The main contributor continues to be food (19.1% y/y) and in particular pork prices (110.2% y/y).The rise in pork also helped to push other meat prices higher, with for example beef prices up 22.2% y/y. However, stripping out food, CPI rose a benign 1.0%,
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